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Part of Brand deal income: five parts bundled into one number

Why can most published brand deal case studies never be verified?

Brand deal case study method: why published ones cannot be checked, six questions that make one readable, and how to build a file you can inspect.

There are no worked examples on this page, and that is deliberate. A sponsorship case study naming a brand, a creator and a result would be either somebody's marketing or an invention, and both would teach you the wrong thing.

What is genuinely useful is knowing why published case studies cannot be checked, and how to build the one kind that can: your own.

What to take away

  • Almost every published sponsorship case study is an argument made by a party with an interest in its conclusion.
  • The missing piece is always the same onewhat would have happened without the campaign.
  • Your own post mortem, run on your own deals, is the only case study whose evidence you can actually inspect.
  • This article deliberately contains no external case study. Nothing here asks you to trust a result you cannot check.

Why published case studies cannot be checked

Take any of them and you will find some combination of these.

The author has a position. Agencies, platforms and tool companies publish case studies as sales material. That does not make the facts wrong, but it decides which facts appear.

Only the successes get written up. Nobody publishes the campaign that did nothing. You are reading a filtered set and drawing conclusions as though it were a representative one.

Attribution is asserted rather than shown. A result is placed next to a campaign and the reader supplies the causal link.

The terms are missing. What was delivered, what rights were granted, what exclusivity applied, what it cost to make. Without those, the outcome is unpriced and cannot be compared to anything.

The conditions do not transfer. A different audience, a different product, a different season, a different buyer with a different approval process. The similarity you can see is not the part that mattered.

None of this means published case studies are worthless. It means they are anecdotes with design work applied, and the honest way to read one is as a source of hypotheses rather than evidence. The general version of that skill is in creator economy research.

Six questions that make one readable

When you do read one, ask these before you take anything from it.

Six questions before you trust it

  • Who wrote it, what do they sell?
  • What was delivered, what rights?
  • What was measured, by whom, how long?
  • What else was running at the same time?
  • What is the comparison against?
  • What is missing to repeat it?
  • Who published it, and what do they sell?
  • How many campaigns like this one were never written up?
  • Is the result placed next to the campaign, or shown to follow from it?
  • What would have happened without the campaign, and how was that measured?
  • What were the termsdeliverables, rights, exclusivity, fee and payment trigger?
  • Would the same audience, product, season and buyer apply to you?

If the answer to the fourth is unavailable, everything after it is a story. That is not a reason to dismiss it. It is a reason to hold the conclusion loosely.

Build the case study you can actually inspect

Run this on your own deals. It takes half an hour per campaign and it compounds.

Post mortem sections

  • What was agreed
  • What actually happened
  • What it cost
  • What you observed
  • What you cannot attribute
  • What you would change

Build an inspectable case study

  1. Keep documents and notes while the deal is live
  2. Record brief, changes, approval dates, hours
  3. Write a one-page post mortem after publication
  4. Log what was agreed and what actually happened
  5. Log costs, observations, and what you cannot attribute
  6. Note one change to terms and one to process

While the deal is live, keep the documents as well as the notes, because a reconstruction is not a record and an accountant will want the originals. That is the point of the Internal Revenue Service's recordkeeping guidance for small business and self-employed filers.

Record the things you will not remember. The brief as it was originally described, every change that arrived after agreement, the dates approvals were requested and returned. The hours you actually spent, and anything the buyer said about what they were trying to achieve.

A week or two after publication, write the post mortem, in one page, in this order.

Section / What goes in it

What was agreed
Deliverables, rights, exclusivity, fee structure, payment trigger
What actually happened
Scope changes, approval delays, revisions used, anything that shipped differently
What it cost
Hours including waiting and chasing, direct costs, and the publishing slot it displaced
What you observed
Response on your own channels, audience reaction, comments worth quoting, and anything that went badly
What you cannot attribute
Stated plainly, so future you does not read the observation as a result
What you would change
One thing about the terms, one about the production, one about the buyer
What would make you do it again
A concrete condition, decided now rather than when the next email arrives

The fifth row is the one that makes the document honest, and it is the one everybody wants to skip.

The template file. One page of plain text, kept beside the contract, named with the last publication date and the buyer so the folder sorts in order. Copy it and replace the bracketed slots.

Row / What you type in

What was agreed
[deliverables], [rights], [exclusivity window], [fee structure], [payment trigger]
What actually happened
[revision rounds] rounds of notes, approval [on time or late], [what shipped differently]
What it cost
[hours] at [your rate], plus [direct costs], plus [the slot the work displaced]
What you observed
[platform numbers], [comments worth quoting], [what went badly]
What you cannot attribute
[the result you are tempted to claim] and [why the comparison does not exist]
What you would change
[one term], [one production choice], [one thing about the buyer]
What would make you do it again
[a condition you decide now]

That is the whole file. There is no result in it, and that is the point.

The attribution problem, said plainly

You will be tempted, especially in a wrap report, to connect your piece to something that happened in the brand's business. Resist it, and understand exactly why.

To attribute an outcome to your content, you must know what would have happened without it. That requires a controlled comparison the brand almost certainly did not run, or an isolation of your traffic that survives everything else in their marketing that month.

A code or a tracked link helps and is still not proof. People who use a code often were going to buy anyway.

Say what you delivered, when, where it ran, what the platform reported, and what you saw in the response. You cannot separate that from everything else. This beats a flattering claim and survives being checked.

Keep figures on stable definitions so you can read them later without deceiving yourself. That is the discipline described in career metrics.

Two documents, not one

The post mortem you write for yourself and the wrap you send the brand are different things and should stay that way.

Your file vs the brand wrap

Your post mortem

Hours and real cost
Included
Buyer behavior
Included
Work again judgment
Included
What was delivered
Included
Numbers and timing
Included
What numbers cannot support
Included

Brand wrap report

Hours and real cost
Excluded
Buyer behavior
Excluded
Work again judgment
Excluded
What was delivered
Included
Numbers and timing
Included
What numbers cannot support
Included

Yours contains the hours, the real cost, the buyer's behavior, and your judgment about whether to work with them again.

Theirs contains what you delivered, when, what the numbers were, what you observed, and what the numbers cannot support. Sending the first by accident is awkward. Merging them is worse, because the version you keep quietly becomes the flattering one.

What a year of these gives you

Ten of these pages in a folder answer questions that no external source can. Which buyers are worth the process, which terms you keep conceding, which kind of campaign is actually profitable once the waiting is counted, and what your genuine capacity is.

They give you something to reason from when an approach resembles one you have done before. That is the closest thing to a benchmark you will ever have that nobody shaped for a reason.

The American Association for Public Opinion Research's professional standards, its Code of Professional Ethics and Practices, set out what a published figure would have to disclose to be worth more than your own file. Almost nothing in this field meets them.

Why an external figure cannot fill that role is set out under published benchmarks. The parallel record of contract terms, described in deal term drift, does the same job for the language rather than the money.

Common questions

Should I publish my own case studies?

You can, and they will be read the same skeptical way as everyone else's, which is fair. If you do, include what you would want to see: the terms, the costs, the caveats, and what you cannot attribute. It will be less impressive and considerably more credible.

Can I use a case study a brand shows me as evidence they are a good client?

Read it for how they describe the working relationship rather than the results. Approval chains, timelines and what they expected from the creator are the parts you can use. The outcome numbers are the parts you cannot check.

What if a deal went badly? Is that still worth writing up?

Those are the valuable ones. A campaign that failed on delivery, on terms, or on the buyer's process teaches you something specific and repeatable. It is the only kind of case study that nobody else will ever write for you.

How does this fit with the contract itself?

The post mortem is the record of how the agreement performed, so it belongs alongside the contract and the invoice rather than in a separate notebook. What that agreement should have contained in the first place is covered in the brand deal income guide.

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